You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–17 on winners spread MAE 8.1 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Marshall @ Kentucky +13.4 159.3 85% 82–118 ✓
Alabama @ Ohio State -11.3 153.6 21% 81–92 ✗
Bowling Green @ Western Kentucky +5.5 140.5 59% 65–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ East Tennessee State +3.7 139.4 67% 71–82 ✓
Lehigh @ Providence +13.6 144.8 86% 64–78 ✓
George Washington @ Ohio -1.0 147.9 35% 99–94 ✓
Youngstown State @ Dayton +12.1 135.9 86% 69–77 ✓
New Hampshire @ Fairfield -1.8 147.6 40% 83–80 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Hawai'i +9.7 146.3 81% 57–76 ✓
Houston Christian @ Oklahoma State +19.9 150.9 90% 65–92 ✓
North Florida @ LSU +14.5 147.4 87% 63–75 ✓
Alcorn State @ Clemson +18.4 148.3 88% 69–90 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arizona State +2.7 138.1 63% 67–82 ✓
VCU @ Boise State -1.3 134.6 45% 61–65 ✗
Western Illinois @ Illinois +21.7 144.2 89% 52–84 ✓
Stanford @ Northern Iowa -1.6 153.0 45% 51–73 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Cal State Northridge +16.1 135.2 89% 48–84 ✓
Le Moyne @ Pacific +2.3 142.9 62% 71–73 ✓
Santa Clara @ Oregon +1.1 144.9 50% 88–82 ✗
NC State @ BYU +9.7 147.4 74% 86–95 ✓
San Diego @ Arkansas State -3.1 148.4 31% 71–57 ✓
Brown @ Kansas City -2.8 137.1 32% 93–83 ✓
Tennessee State @ SE Louisiana -3.9 137.7 32% 91–77 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Missouri +11.9 137.2 86% 70–78 ✓
Jackson State @ Georgetown +11.4 148.8 86% 81–88 ✓
NJIT @ Wagner +9.9 134.8 86% 51–64 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Liberty +24.8 150.6 90% 62–99 ✓
Merrimack @ Alabama State -6.6 145.7 28% 60–66 ✗
New Orleans @ North Dakota +2.8 149.8 70% 69–71 ✓
Maine @ Columbia +1.3 135.7 58% 56–75 ✓
Mercer @ Western Michigan -4.0 131.6 33% 66–72 ✗
Ohio @ Middle Tennessee -3.3 132.4 45% 80–68 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Canisius -3.0 143.7 40% 77–85 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Evansville +13.8 142.5 85% 74–93 ✓
Northeastern @ Princeton +20.4 138.7 90% 66–80 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ SIU Edwardsville +9.5 129.1 85% 67–81 ✓
East Carolina @ George Mason +11.2 137.3 82% 59–81 ✓
UMBC @ William & Mary +5.9 160.0 78% 81–96 ✓
Monmouth @ Lafayette -3.6 137.8 36% 63–53 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri State +20.2 150.7 90% 74–92 ✓
Miami (OH) @ St. Bonaventure +7.2 133.7 76% 60–90 ✓
Army @ Binghamton +10.4 131.0 75% 68–75 ✓
Southern Miss @ Milwaukee +1.9 142.4 35% 90–84 ✗
UT Martin @ Chicago State -1.9 152.0 38% 94–71 ✓
Tulsa @ Little Rock +2.9 152.8 63% 82–84 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington +3.6 137.3 62% 73–66 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Green Bay -2.7 127.3 40% 51–64 ✗
Lamar @ Longwood +7.1 151.1 83% 72–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Samford +16.9 157.7 88% 83–101 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Central Arkansas +2.3 136.7 51% 74–71 ✗
Alabama @ Oregon -8.1 160.1 17% 99–91 ✓
Southern @ Valparaiso +0.6 146.7 62% 59–71 ✓
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's +0.4 142.2 47% 87–83 ✗
Incarnate Word @ UTSA +1.5 159.0 57% 80–90 ✓
Jacksonville @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.7 153.7 41% 91–90 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Francis +1.8 134.5 30% 69–61 ✗
Bucknell @ Marist +9.4 129.6 82% 49–73 ✓
Long Island University @ Northern Kentucky +11.6 146.2 86% 64–72 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Greensboro -1.5 135.8 48% 77–88 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.2 139.2 47% 71–55 ✗
Belmont @ Pennsylvania +7.9 151.7 76% 84–79 ✗
Wofford @ UNC Asheville -5.0 153.0 44% 82–85 ✗
Delaware State @ Bethune-Cookman -0.7 141.6 46% 72–64 ✓
Georgia State @ Charlotte +9.3 133.9 83% 57–65 ✓
Furman @ UAB +5.1 152.1 72% 86–92 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.