Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -275 DETM +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -16.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -9.5 (+4.5) | 129.1 (+18.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -10.7 (+3.3) | 132.9 (+15.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -11.8 (+2.2) | 132.3 (+15.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -12.2 (+1.8) | 127.9 (+20.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-2 | 1-11 |
| Away | 2-13 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#205) | -10.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#137) | -2.20 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#163) | -2.98 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#151) | 0.440 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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