But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–12 on winners spread MAE 8.9 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
George Washington @ UIC +1.1 144.5 48% 79–89 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Cleveland State +12.8 142.3 87% 59–86 ✓
UTEP @ Loyola Marymount +2.4 137.5 59% 47–67 ✓
Holy Cross @ St. John's +15.9 142.9 88% 45–91 ✓
Queens University @ Richmond +13.3 143.3 84% 61–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Santa Clara -1.9 140.6 37% 86–56 ✓
Texas Southern @ Drake +18.9 138.2 89% 71–77 ✓
California @ San Diego State +15.3 151.7 87% 67–76 ✓
South Alabama @ Maryland +10.2 131.4 83% 55–68 ✓
Norfolk State @ Wichita State +15.2 144.6 88% 67–80 ✓
Bowling Green @ Lipscomb +8.0 147.4 73% 82–61 ✗
Arkansas State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.0 149.7 26% 75–58 ✓
Dartmouth @ Saint Louis — — — 65–66 —
Vermont @ Bradley +6.8 138.0 70% 70–79 ✓
North Dakota State @ Grand Canyon +13.4 147.4 88% 71–86 ✓
Northern Illinois @ DePaul -2.1 153.1 45% 89–79 ✓
San Diego @ Hawai'i +1.9 138.8 55% 66–77 ✓
Penn State @ VCU -1.8 136.7 36% 74–86 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Kansas City -4.4 127.0 27% 63–59 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Western Kentucky +6.6 155.0 71% 77–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Belmont +4.4 143.9 61% 69–79 ✓
New Mexico State @ Louisville +5.0 146.8 78% 84–90 ✓
Coppin State @ La Salle +15.8 130.8 89% 62–81 ✓
Austin Peay @ App State +12.5 134.5 87% 58–78 ✓
Lamar @ Delaware State -5.3 148.7 30% 84–81 ✓
North Dakota @ Eastern Michigan -3.2 142.6 33% 72–70 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Saint Joseph's +7.9 150.4 81% 55–64 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Virginia Tech -0.3 146.3 47% 84–50 ✓
Ohio @ Brown -4.6 153.9 34% 82–77 ✓
Air Force @ South Dakota +0.7 137.1 48% 58–57 ✗
Iona @ Colorado +10.6 148.0 84% 68–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Wofford -6.5 159.6 24% 85–78 ✓
Denver @ East Texas A&M -2.4 147.1 36% 71–61 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Chattanooga +11.0 143.1 88% 56–72 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Coastal Carolina +0.5 145.1 41% 70–58 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Robert Morris +5.0 149.7 73% 86–97 ✓
Drexel @ Old Dominion +1.5 130.2 55% 61–68 ✓
Stonehill @ Quinnipiac +14.4 153.1 88% 69–80 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Nebraska +15.9 142.1 89% 72–85 ✓
Monmouth @ Pennsylvania +5.7 147.2 72% 61–76 ✓
Wyoming @ Texas +11.6 141.2 85% 63–86 ✓
UL Monroe @ SMU +11.0 132.2 86% 57–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Longwood +15.2 145.0 88% 48–69 ✓
New Orleans @ Central Arkansas -1.8 145.3 36% 79–74 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word -4.5 138.3 25% 67–65 ✓
Canisius @ Bowling Green -4.7 141.8 38% 73–77 ✗
Morgan State @ Towson +13.1 135.5 86% 58–67 ✓
Yale @ Rhode Island -2.1 146.1 38% 72–76 ✗
North Alabama @ Western Carolina +10.2 142.6 79% 63–81 ✓
Butler @ Boise State -4.5 142.3 32% 70–56 ✓
Long Beach State @ Montana State +2.2 138.7 65% 75–69 ✗
Stetson @ UCF +10.6 141.4 79% 85–82 ✗
George Washington @ Delaware -1.3 145.3 46% 81–71 ✓
Harvard @ Indiana -6.1 145.2 32% 76–89 ✗
UAlbany @ Siena -4.7 139.4 29% 86–51 ✓
Bellarmine @ West Virginia +10.4 131.5 85% 58–62 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Pacific +13.3 131.4 89% 65–68 ✓
Charleston @ Kent State +9.9 151.6 80% 84–78 ✗
UC San Diego @ Seattle U +11.6 140.9 87% 67–79 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida International +2.5 157.2 68% 84–91 ✓
Texas A&M @ Iowa State +3.0 138.1 57% 73–69 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.