Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | SCU +225 OSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +30 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -4.3 (-25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.9 (-28.1) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.0 (-28.0) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -2.4 (-27.6) | 141.6 (+0.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.3 (-27.7) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 15-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#99) | 9.2 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#30) | 1.49 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#40) | 2.21 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#136) | 0.632 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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