Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -150 NIU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +10 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | NIU -3.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -2.5 (-7.5) | 151.1 (+16.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -3.1 (-6.9) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -2.5 (-7.5) | 146.8 (+21.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -2.1 (-7.9) | 153.1 (+14.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | DEP 98 – 52 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-29 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-15 | 5-9 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L20 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#232) | 6.7 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#309) | 3.18 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#286) | 4.99 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#241) | 0.670 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 35.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 10.2% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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