Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -600 STO +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -18.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -14.4 (-3.4) | 153.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -13.1 (-2.1) | 151.5 (-2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -13.6 (-2.6) | 152.5 (-3.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -14.3 (-3.3) | 150.6 (-1.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | QUIN 76 – 62 STO |
| Dec 1, 2024 | STO 88 – 74 QUIN |
| Nov 11, 2022 | QUIN 102 – 95 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 2-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#236) | -15.5 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#127) | -1.33 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#149) | -2.11 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#197) | 0.460 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 60.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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