Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | STO +255 QUIN -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | STO -3.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -0.2 (+13.8) | 139.0 (+23.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -3.0 (+11.0) | 134.6 (+27.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -3.3 (+10.7) | 135.0 (+27.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -3.0 (+11.0) | 138.1 (+23.9) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2025 | QUIN 76 – 62 STO |
| Nov 26, 2023 | QUIN 80 – 69 STO |
| Nov 11, 2022 | QUIN 102 – 95 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#307) | -5.4 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#238) | -0.16 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#234) | -0.57 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#267) | 0.467 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 24.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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