Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN -1800 STO +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -15.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -12.0 (+2.0) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -10.9 (+3.1) | 146.5 (-8.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -11.5 (+2.5) | 142.5 (-4.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -12.3 (+1.7) | 143.9 (-5.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | STO 88 – 74 QUIN |
| Nov 26, 2023 | QUIN 80 – 69 STO |
| Nov 11, 2022 | QUIN 102 – 95 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#174) | -10.2 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#93) | -3.70 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#97) | -5.80 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#59) | 0.359 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 11.4% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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