Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LMU -150 UTEP +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +20 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | LMU -4.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -2.4 (+17.6) | 137.5 (-23.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -3.4 (+16.6) | 140.5 (-26.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -2.6 (+17.4) | 142.3 (-28.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -2.2 (+17.8) | 140.1 (-26.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | LMU 71 – 58 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-5 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#190) | 1.1 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#266) | 0.94 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#259) | 1.21 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#307) | 0.604 (#54) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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