You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Tom Gola Arena · November 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LAS -21.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money LAS -4000 / COPP +2500
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAS win
Actual LAS +19 143 Won
Massey LAS -21.0 (-2.0)
Massey Totals 129.9 (+13.1)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML LAS -15.8 (+3.2) 130.8 (+12.2) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML LAS -15.4 (+3.6) 134.0 (+9.0) 88%
Baseline ML LAS -16.8 (+2.2) 132.2 (+10.8) 90%
Baseline Plus ML LAS -16.9 (+2.1) 132.3 (+10.7) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 5, 2025 LAS 8759 COPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAS COPP
Overall 16-17 2-27
Conference 6-12 1-13
Home 11-6 2-8
Away 3-10 0-17
Neutral 2-1 0-2
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L13
Avg Pts For 71.6 57.9
Avg Pts Against 74.1 72.8
Massey -4.8 (#263) -19.0 (#361)
Bradley-Terry 0.84 (#116) -4.39 (#360)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.24 (#121) -6.76 (#360)
RPI 0.557 (#101) 0.233 (#362)
Shooting & Four Factors LAS COPP
FG% 44.8% 34.0%
3PT% 33.6% 20.7%
REB / G 31.4 26.2
OREB / G 8.0 8.2
AST / TO 1.69 0.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 37.5%
TOV% 12.6% 21.9%
ORB% 23.0% 21.5%
FT Rate 23.8% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.7% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 23.4%
DRB% 67.6% 57.0%
Opp FT Rate 18.3% 27.5%

Game Analysis

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