Betting Lines
| Spread | PSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | VCU +120 PSU -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -2.9 (+14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+29.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PSU -1.8 (+13.8) | 136.7 (+23.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PSU -1.8 (+13.8) | 132.3 (+27.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -1.9 (+13.9) | 133.3 (+26.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PSU -2.2 (+14.2) | 134.4 (+25.6) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2020 | PSU 72 – 69 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#113) | 6.7 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#176) | 0.13 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#146) | 0.46 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#140) | 0.471 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.0% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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