Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -300 UCSD +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -11.4 (+0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -9.4 (+2.6) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -9.2 (+2.8) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -8.7 (+3.3) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -11.6 (+0.4) | 140.9 (+5.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SEA 84 – 71 UCSD |
| Nov 8, 2022 | SEA 85 – 71 UCSD |
| Dec 13, 2021 | SEA 73 – 51 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#117) | -1.1 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#185) | -0.54 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#148) | -1.02 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#176) | 0.468 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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