Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -175 UCSD +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +22 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -0.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.4 (+19.6) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.0 (+20.0) | 141.2 (-17.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -1.8 (+20.2) | 141.1 (-17.1) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.3 (+18.7) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | SEA 84 – 71 UCSD |
| Nov 26, 2023 | SEA 79 – 67 UCSD |
| Nov 8, 2022 | SEA 85 – 71 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 0-0 |
| Home | 17-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#208) | 3.1 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#240) | 0.71 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#244) | 1.81 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#299) | 0.522 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 79.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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