Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +188 OHIO -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +5 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -6.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -4.6 (-0.4) | 153.9 (+5.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -5.7 (+0.7) | 151.7 (+7.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.8 (-0.2) | 152.8 (+6.2) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -5.2 (+0.2) | 155.5 (+3.5) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#223) | 3.7 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#342) | 0.48 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.13 (#336) | 1.76 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#320) | 0.509 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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