Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | CCU -150 NCCU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +12 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -2.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -0.5 (-12.5) | 145.1 (-17.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -2.1 (-14.1) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -2.8 (-14.8) | 146.6 (-18.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -1.9 (-13.9) | 143.9 (-15.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2020 | CCU 78 – 71 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-11 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#319) | -4.8 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#349) | -1.25 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.27 (#342) | -2.13 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#338) | 0.456 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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