Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -2500 TXSO +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -20.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -18.9 (-12.9) | 138.2 (+9.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -15.6 (-9.6) | 136.0 (+12.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -16.3 (-10.3) | 136.9 (+11.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -17.8 (-11.8) | 136.9 (+11.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-0 | 7-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#83) | -7.9 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#69) | -1.77 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#68) | -2.58 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#47) | 0.411 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 31.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 24.5% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 35.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 9.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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