Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | BOIS -133 BUT +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +14 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | BUT -9.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -3.5 (-10.5) | 140.6 (-14.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -4.9 (-9.1) | 142.8 (-16.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -5.0 (-9.0) | 144.6 (-18.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -4.9 (-9.1) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | BOIS 77 – 68 BUT |
| Apr 2, 2025 | BOIS 100 – 93 BUT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#124) | 12.0 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#91) | 0.83 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#66) | 1.52 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.651 (#31) | 0.574 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | BUT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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