Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -1000 NORF +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -24.1 (-11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -15.2 (-2.2) | 144.6 (+2.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -16.8 (-3.8) | 140.6 (+6.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -19.3 (-6.3) | 140.5 (+6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -18.5 (-5.5) | 143.4 (+3.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | WICH 71 – 58 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#68) | -10.3 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#39) | -1.56 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.96 (#30) | -2.65 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#35) | 0.364 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 34.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 44.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 39.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 39.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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