We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Charles Koch Arena · December 12, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -15.5 Away covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual WICH +13 129 Won
Massey WICH -14.2 (-1.2) — —
Massey Totals — 136.0 (-7.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WICH -12.2 (+0.8) 136.4 (-7.4) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -11.2 (+1.8) 135.5 (-6.5) 86% ✓
Baseline ML WICH -11.7 (+1.3) 136.6 (-7.6) 84% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WICH -11.9 (+1.1) 138.5 (-9.5) 85% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2023 WICH 80 – 67 NORF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH NORF
Overall 15-13 24-7
Conference 6-9 12-2
Home 11-6 11-0
Away 3-5 7-6
Neutral 1-2 6-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.5 72.0
Avg Pts Against 66.4 66.6
Massey 6.2 (#74) -3.1 (#236)
Bradley-Terry 1.88 (#53) 0.74 (#122)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.49 (#55) 1.44 (#100)
RPI 0.597 (#48) 0.489 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH NORF
FG% 39.4% 43.8%
3PT% 31.8% 29.9%
REB / G 35.9 37.8
OREB / G 10.9 10.0
AST / TO 0.76 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.2% 47.6%
TOV% 21.0% 18.7%
ORB% 29.5% 27.2%
FT Rate 21.1% 28.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.6% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 23.1% 19.8%
DRB% 72.7% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 22.8% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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