Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -700 QUC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +29 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -19.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -13.3 (+15.7) | 143.3 (+7.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -16.2 (+12.8) | 142.3 (+8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -18.1 (+10.9) | 143.0 (+8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -19.1 (+9.9) | 144.4 (+6.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#51) | -4.4 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#194) | -0.39 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#204) | -0.68 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#207) | 0.451 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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