We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
Moody Center · November 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -15.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money TEX -1600 / WYO +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +23 149 Won
Massey TEX -11.9 (+11.1) — —
Massey Totals — 140.5 (+8.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 79% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -11.6 (+11.4) 141.2 (+7.8) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -10.5 (+12.5) 141.6 (+7.4) 80% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -11.3 (+11.7) 143.0 (+6.0) 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -12.1 (+10.9) 143.4 (+5.6) 83% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX WYO
Overall 21-13 15-17
Conference 9-9 8-10
Home 14-4 9-5
Away 4-6 3-10
Neutral 3-3 3-2
Last 5 4-1 3-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 71.6
Avg Pts Against 68.9 75.6
Massey 5.4 (#94) 0.2 (#160)
Bradley-Terry 0.84 (#119) 0.88 (#112)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.89 (#142) 1.39 (#111)
RPI 0.555 (#107) 0.535 (#133)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX WYO
FG% 50.5% 45.6%
3PT% 37.9% 35.4%
REB / G 36.8 37.2
OREB / G 9.8 10.8
AST / TO 1.45 0.74
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.2% 52.1%
TOV% 17.0% 24.2%
ORB% 29.7% 33.6%
FT Rate 24.2% 31.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.0% 45.1%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 19.2%
DRB% 71.1% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 29.3% 18.5%

Game Analysis

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