Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Chaifetz Arena · November 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -12.5 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Money SLU -1200 / DART +1000
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +1 131 Won
Massey SLU -21.0 (-20.0) — —
Massey Totals — 148.9 (-17.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -15.6 (-14.6) 143.5 (-12.5) 88% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -17.3 (-16.3) 144.6 (-13.6) 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -14.9 (-13.9) 143.8 (-12.8) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU DART
Overall 13-20 6-21
Conference 5-13 2-12
Home 8-8 6-7
Away 3-9 0-14
Neutral 2-3 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-2
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 74.1 60.6
Avg Pts Against 79.8 73.2
Massey -1.9 (#212) -16.2 (#359)
Bradley-Terry 0.94 (#106) -1.27 (#273)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.03 (#79) -1.67 (#263)
RPI 0.549 (#114) 0.474 (#202)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU DART
FG% 40.3% 33.3%
3PT% 37.6% 15.4%
REB / G 34.4 31.5
OREB / G 7.2 10.0
AST / TO 1.22 0.61
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 36.0%
TOV% 13.4% 20.6%
ORB% 18.7% 25.0%
FT Rate 31.2% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 63.4%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 14.9%
DRB% 72.0% 75.4%
Opp FT Rate 18.6% 13.8%

Game Analysis

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