Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | ETAM -150 DEN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -1.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEN -2.4 (-7.6) | 147.1 (-15.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -2.3 (-12.3) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -2.3 (-12.3) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -0.9 (-10.9) | 148.7 (-16.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2022 | DEN 84 – 75 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 82.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#261) | 0.3 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#123) | -0.15 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#128) | -0.45 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#77) | 0.449 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 11.8% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 11.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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