I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
Incarnate Word Cardinals
65 – 67
FINAL Neutral Roadrunner Classic
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
UTSA Convocation Center (Neutral) · November 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -6.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money UIW +275 / JXST -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total UIW win
Actual JXST +2 132 Lost
Massey JXST -4.9 (+2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 138.6 (-6.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -4.5 (+2.5) 138.3 (-6.3) 25% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -2.7 (+0.7) 136.9 (-4.9) 38% ✓
Baseline ML JXST -2.5 (+0.5) 138.3 (-6.3) 37% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JXST -2.7 (+0.7) 141.3 (-9.3) 32% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 23, 2023 UIW 67 – 66 JXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UIW JXST
Overall 8-23 14-18
Conference 3-15 6-10
Home 5-8 8-7
Away 3-14 5-10
Neutral 0-1 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L7 L4
Avg Pts For 70.8 67.2
Avg Pts Against 79.3 67.6
Massey -4.9 (#266) -0.0 (#163)
Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#218) -1.04 (#259)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.35 (#252) -0.62 (#213)
RPI 0.450 (#247) 0.326 (#344)
Shooting & Four Factors UIW JXST
FG% 41.2% 41.2%
3PT% 30.5% 31.4%
REB / G 37.2 35.6
OREB / G 12.0 12.8
AST / TO 0.91 0.69
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 45.9%
TOV% 17.8% 20.7%
ORB% 29.4% 33.3%
FT Rate 22.2% 24.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.3% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 22.3%
DRB% 67.7% 75.0%
Opp FT Rate 33.1% 26.9%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.