Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +140 JXST -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -8.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -2.2 (-1.2) | 137.5 (-4.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -5.7 (-4.7) | 140.5 (-7.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -6.3 (-5.3) | 143.1 (-10.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -5.2 (-4.2) | 143.8 (-10.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2023 | JXST 67 – 65 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-10 |
| Home | 5-8 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#208) | -3.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#114) | -2.77 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#115) | -3.72 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#91) | 0.199 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.8% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.