Betting Lines
| Spread | EVAN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EVAN -188 SEMO +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +19 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -19.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+31.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -13.8 (+5.2) | 142.5 (+24.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -13.6 (+5.4) | 139.3 (+27.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -15.2 (+3.8) | 139.4 (+27.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -17.1 (+1.9) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | EVAN 76 – 57 SEMO |
| Nov 17, 2022 | SEMO 67 – 61 EVAN |
| Dec 9, 2021 | SEMO 75 – 73 EVAN |
| Dec 16, 2020 | EVAN 66 – 63 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#53) | -11.4 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#11) | -0.93 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.96 (#15) | -1.14 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.738 (#7) | 0.477 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.4% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.