Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -250 SCU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +6 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -3.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+31.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.1 (-7.1) | 144.9 (+25.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.6 (-7.6) | 139.7 (+30.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -1.7 (-7.7) | 139.4 (+30.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.9 (-7.9) | 141.2 (+28.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#54) | 4.6 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#34) | 2.01 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#34) | 2.69 (#52) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#45) | 0.502 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 41.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 83.7% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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