Fairleigh Dickinson
Knights
90
–
91
FINAL
Neutral
Urban-Bennett Memorial Classic
Jacksonville
Dolphins
Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | FDU +150 JAX -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +1 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | JAX -2.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -0.7 (-0.3) | 153.7 (+27.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -1.8 (+0.8) | 151.1 (+29.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -1.5 (+0.5) | 151.5 (+29.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.8 (-0.2) | 154.0 (+27.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#294) | -4.8 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#205) | -0.02 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#234) | -0.04 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#263) | 0.439 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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