Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | MSM +118 HOW -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +4 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -4.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -0.4 (-4.4) | 142.2 (+27.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -2.7 (-6.7) | 143.7 (+26.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -3.0 (-7.0) | 144.4 (+25.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -2.8 (-6.8) | 144.9 (+25.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | MSM 79 – 75 HOW |
| Nov 30, 2024 | MSM 79 – 75 HOW |
| Dec 21, 2022 | HOW 63 – 62 MSM |
| Dec 1, 2021 | MSM 72 – 70 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#253) | -2.2 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#330) | -0.61 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.01 (#314) | 0.08 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.303 (#354) | 0.439 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 24.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.