Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | LIB -7000 UMES +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +37 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -34.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -24.8 (+12.2) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -24.1 (+12.9) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -29.2 (+7.8) | 149.5 (+11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -29.2 (+7.8) | 149.5 (+11.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2022 | LIB 79 – 59 UMES |
| Nov 27, 2021 | LIB 73 – 61 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#15) | -13.3 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.00 (#3) | -1.06 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.34 (#3) | -1.68 (#269) |
| RPI | 0.845 (#1) | 0.454 (#227) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.