Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | UNCG -175 DEL +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCG +11 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -5.3 (+16.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.5 (+12.5) | 135.8 (+29.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -3.7 (+14.7) | 137.8 (+27.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.5 (+14.5) | 138.4 (+26.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -3.9 (+14.9) | 136.2 (+28.8) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | DEL 73 – 60 UNCG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCG | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#132) | 7.4 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#102) | 2.36 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#144) | 3.24 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#164) | 0.540 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCG | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.