Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -20000 HCU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +27 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -20.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -19.9 (+7.1) | 150.9 (+6.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -15.0 (+12.0) | 153.2 (+3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -16.5 (+10.5) | 149.7 (+7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -16.9 (+10.1) | 149.0 (+8.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 5-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#184) | -13.9 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#290) | -4.89 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#258) | -6.92 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#302) | 0.289 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 17.4% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 56.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.