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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–9 on winners spread MAE 10.1 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boise State @ Virginia Tech +4.1 137.9 71% 75–82 ✓
Stanford @ Michigan +6.0 160.2 75% 78–83 ✓
NC State @ Vanderbilt -10.4 136.2 19% 84–78 ✓
BYU @ Arizona State -12.8 139.0 18% 77–49 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida Atlantic -3.4 140.4 41% 89–96 ✗
Kansas City @ UNC Greensboro +7.9 138.3 80% 64–76 ✓
Mercer @ Tennessee State -0.4 137.2 36% 60–59 ✓
Bryant @ Xavier +12.2 141.4 84% 75–100 ✓
Arkansas @ North Carolina +5.9 155.0 65% 72–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ UTSA +0.9 144.2 39% 77–62 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Wake Forest +18.3 147.5 90% 56–71 ✓
Delaware @ Brown -6.8 136.3 28% 67–59 ✓
Penn State @ Butler -0.1 145.4 47% 78–88 ✗
Manhattan @ UConn +23.2 143.5 90% 60–90 ✓
Nicholls @ Mississippi State +18.2 147.4 88% 61–74 ✓
Lipscomb @ UNC Asheville — — — 86–75 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Ball State +13.1 150.2 88% 74–92 ✓
Evansville @ Chattanooga +4.7 136.6 54% 85–77 ✗
Indiana State @ Toledo -1.6 158.9 39% 76–74 ✓
Alabama State @ North Carolina A&T -2.8 155.9 38% 88–73 ✓
Long Island University @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.9 145.1 74% 83–68 ✗
Monmouth @ Belmont -1.5 156.5 40% 93–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Western Michigan +0.0 138.4 50% 67–68 ✓
Delaware State @ Longwood +15.7 140.7 88% 82–84 ✓
Oregon State @ Pittsburgh +13.4 152.9 85% 51–76 ✓
Oklahoma @ USC -6.2 142.6 27% 72–70 ✓
Memphis @ Villanova +2.6 143.0 58% 63–79 ✓
Montana @ Houston +24.0 128.2 90% 44–79 ✓
Jacksonville @ Robert Morris +9.1 137.7 72% 74–65 ✗
Davidson @ Saint Mary's +0.4 126.0 62% 55–89 ✓
Utah Tech @ Washington State +12.3 147.1 83% 53–93 ✓
Merrimack @ Samford +4.2 141.0 75% 71–79 ✓
UC Irvine @ Rice -13.0 148.0 14% 83–68 ✓
Canisius @ Wofford -0.8 148.9 44% 76–67 ✓
Lafayette @ Pennsylvania +12.9 136.6 87% 72–74 ✓
UIC @ Middle Tennessee -0.6 128.3 53% 70–40 ✓
Winthrop @ Georgia +3.4 141.4 68% 69–78 ✓
Grambling @ Troy +14.2 144.7 87% 67–80 ✓
Baylor @ Florida -2.4 158.2 35% 95–91 ✓
Iowa State @ Virginia Tech -9.7 138.1 28% 62–71 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Duke +23.8 145.0 90% 62–80 ✓
UC San Diego @ Idaho -10.2 143.0 26% 70–73 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Lamar +4.2 144.2 66% 65–83 ✓
Seton Hall @ Iowa +1.1 148.7 58% 72–85 ✓
Michigan @ Texas Tech -0.6 141.8 45% 57–73 ✗
New Mexico @ Pepperdine -7.3 148.6 27% 90–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.