Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +115 SELA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -0.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -0.0 (+1.0) | 138.4 (-3.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.8 (+1.8) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -1.5 (+2.5) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -1.1 (+2.1) | 139.1 (-4.1) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | WMU 81 – 77 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#266) | -4.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.79 (#340) | -0.61 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.80 (#333) | -0.57 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#293) | 0.542 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 39.0% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 63.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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