SE Louisiana
Lions
77
–
81
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Hilton Garden Inn FGCU Invitational
Western Michigan
Broncos
Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | SELA -130 WMU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WMU +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.5 (-4.5) | 148.5 (+9.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.9 (-4.9) | 144.4 (+13.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -0.1 (-3.9) | 146.9 (+11.1) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.7 (-4.7) | 147.1 (+10.9) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | WMU 68 – 67 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-1 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#285) | -9.5 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#329) | 0.57 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#326) | 0.87 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.257 (#358) | 0.555 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.3% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 22.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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