Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WOF +100 CAN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +9 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -1.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -0.8 (-8.2) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -1.8 (-7.2) | 152.7 (-9.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -1.5 (-7.5) | 151.0 (-8.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -1.4 (-7.6) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#216) | -1.1 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#165) | 0.99 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#175) | 1.22 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.569 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 9.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 62.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 44.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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