Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | IDHO +500 UCSD -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -14.3 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -8.1 (+11.1) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.4 (+12.4) | 143.5 (-0.5) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -10.2 (+13.2) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -9.2 (+12.2) | 143.1 (-0.1) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 67 IDHO |
| Dec 16, 2024 | UCSD 80 – 56 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-5 |
| Home | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#348) | 1.1 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.26 (#352) | 1.60 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.27 (#356) | 2.17 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#328) | 0.621 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 25.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 43.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 57.6% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.