Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -250 IDHO +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -12.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -11.5 (-3.5) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -9.9 (-1.9) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -12.6 (-4.6) | 145.6 (-3.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -11.8 (-3.8) | 143.3 (-1.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2024 | UCSD 80 – 56 IDHO |
| Nov 24, 2023 | IDHO 73 – 70 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#74) | 3.6 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#37) | 0.70 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#36) | 0.81 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.729 (#28) | 0.432 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 13.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 13.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 77.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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