Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +280 UCSD -360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +24 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -9.0 (-15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -9.2 (-14.8) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -6.7 (-17.3) | 143.0 (-7.0) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -6.8 (-17.2) | 143.2 (-7.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -7.7 (-16.3) | 139.7 (-3.7) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 67 IDHO |
| Nov 24, 2023 | IDHO 73 – 70 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 18-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 12-2 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#264) | 7.9 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#250) | 1.32 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#235) | 1.34 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#244) | 0.559 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.