Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | TTU +115 MICH -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -3.0 (+19.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -0.6 (+16.6) | 141.8 (-11.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -1.2 (+17.2) | 141.0 (-11.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -0.8 (+16.8) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -0.1 (+16.1) | 143.0 (-13.0) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-10 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#122) | 6.2 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#124) | 0.17 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#135) | 0.27 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#138) | 0.516 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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