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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–8 on winners spread MAE 9.9 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Oregon State -14.9 157.2 15% 88–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Cincinnati +11.9 155.4 81% 54–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri +17.7 147.8 89% 59–82 ✓
Pepperdine @ Indiana State +6.6 155.3 73% 82–90 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Cleveland State +8.6 139.4 81% 70–72 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Queens University +5.1 154.3 72% 84–97 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Notre Dame +6.7 141.4 72% 55–75 ✓
Maine @ South Florida +6.8 130.6 72% 70–59 ✗
Bucknell @ St. Bonaventure +8.1 130.9 80% 61–67 ✓
Hofstra @ High Point -4.1 148.0 27% 97–92 ✓
Alabama State @ Samford +8.5 149.6 79% 67–99 ✓
Alcorn State @ UT Arlington +7.2 149.5 77% 69–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word +2.2 137.5 60% 66–67 ✓
South Dakota State @ Southern Miss +3.1 136.5 54% 65–54 ✗
Idaho @ Seattle U +11.9 137.0 87% 55–92 ✓
Duquesne @ Nebraska +8.6 148.5 71% 79–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Kansas State +15.7 149.2 88% 56–100 ✓
Stanford @ Arkansas +2.8 159.7 68% 74–77 ✓
Wisconsin @ SMU -2.6 138.1 36% 69–61 ✓
James Madison @ Fresno State -8.3 155.3 23% 95–64 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ San Francisco +5.2 139.1 71% 60–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Montana State +6.7 128.8 75% 68–69 ✓
Florida @ Pittsburgh +6.0 154.9 64% 86–71 ✗
Rice @ New Mexico +7.5 155.8 78% 56–90 ✓
UTEP @ Bradley +6.1 145.1 73% 59–63 ✓
Toledo @ UC Irvine +2.4 147.7 62% 71–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ UCLA -1.7 132.1 35% 69–65 ✓
California @ Tulane +9.9 152.4 81% 81–84 ✓
Penn State @ Texas A&M +3.1 137.3 65% 77–89 ✓
Texas Tech @ Northern Iowa -7.4 138.5 18% 72–70 ✓
Boston College @ Loyola Chicago -8.6 144.1 22% 68–71 ✗
Villanova @ North Carolina +0.1 142.2 44% 83–81 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Butler +2.1 138.2 47% 91–86 ✗
Oklahoma @ Iowa -0.0 153.7 51% 79–67 ✓
Michigan State @ Arizona +9.5 139.6 76% 68–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Creighton +3.5 147.4 52% 69–48 ✗
Seton Hall @ USC -5.2 139.3 36% 63–71 ✗
Iowa State @ VCU -13.3 133.3 16% 68–64 ✓
Arkansas @ Memphis +2.1 153.5 56% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.