Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -450 CSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +21 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -4.9 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-44.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -3.5 (-24.5) | 147.4 (-30.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -1.6 (-22.6) | 156.0 (-39.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -1.1 (-22.1) | 153.4 (-36.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -0.4 (-21.4) | 154.1 (-37.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | CSU 95 – 81 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#9) | 12.6 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#44) | 3.75 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#48) | 5.96 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#48) | 0.691 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.9% | 55.2% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 41.2% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 4.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.86 | 2.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 65.1% | 63.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 17.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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