Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +14 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -0.3 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -1.0 (-15.0) | 152.2 (+23.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -0.8 (-14.8) | 143.8 (+32.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -0.2 (-14.2) | 143.4 (+32.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -1.2 (-15.2) | 145.9 (+30.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | CSU 69 – 48 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 25-6 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#103) | 4.7 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#30) | 0.71 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#34) | 0.76 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#96) | 0.406 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 53.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 45.2 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 59.7% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.4% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 8.5% |
Game Analysis
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