They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
New Mexico Lobos
90 – 56
FINAL Neutral Ball Dawgs Classic
Rice Owls
Lee's Family Forum (Neutral) · November 23, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNM -7.5 Home covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money UNM -300 / RICE +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNM win
Actual UNM +34 146 Won
Massey UNM -7.4 (+26.6) — —
Massey Totals — 167.7 (-21.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNM -7.5 (+26.5) 155.8 (-9.8) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNM -7.3 (+26.7) 155.9 (-9.9) 77% ✓
Baseline ML UNM -7.7 (+26.3) 155.8 (-9.8) 73% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNM -7.5 (+26.5) 158.9 (-12.9) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2020 UNM 72 – 61 RICE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNM RICE
Overall 26-10 11-21
Conference 10-8 5-13
Home 13-3 6-10
Away 5-6 5-7
Neutral 8-1 0-4
Last 5 3-1 0-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 80.8 71.1
Avg Pts Against 71.2 76.3
Massey 3.1 (#116) -4.3 (#256)
Bradley-Terry 0.73 (#123) -1.52 (#300)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.64 (#144) -2.01 (#285)
RPI 0.531 (#144) 0.455 (#233)
Shooting & Four Factors UNM RICE
FG% 44.0% 41.6%
3PT% 31.3% 32.4%
REB / G 42.2 34.0
OREB / G 14.0 11.0
AST / TO 1.29 1.22
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 47.6%
TOV% 15.0% 16.4%
ORB% 34.6% 28.2%
FT Rate 25.9% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 63.5%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 15.0%
DRB% 72.9% 76.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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