Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -500 GT +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +35 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -14.1 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -15.1 (+19.9) | 154.6 (-11.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -14.5 (+20.5) | 150.5 (-7.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -14.0 (+21.0) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -11.9 (+23.1) | 155.4 (-12.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2024 | CIN 81 – 58 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 16-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#77) | -0.6 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#61) | -0.34 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#74) | 0.00 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#76) | 0.404 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 41.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 18.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 13.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 41.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 82.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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