Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -400 PSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -4.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+38.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -2.6 (+9.4) | 132.0 (+34.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.1 (+8.9) | 137.3 (+28.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -2.7 (+9.3) | 137.2 (+28.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -2.6 (+9.4) | 131.9 (+34.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 17, 2023 | PSU 76 – 59 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#20) | 8.9 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#4) | 1.82 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.17 (#4) | 3.21 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.736 (#9) | 0.520 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 24.7% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 47.0 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 19.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.93 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 11.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 45.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 37.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 29.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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