Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -154 PSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PSU +17 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -2.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.5 (-18.5) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TA&M -3.5 (-20.5) | 137.3 (-2.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | TA&M -1.3 (-18.3) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.9 (-18.9) | 137.3 (-2.3) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | TA&M 89 – 77 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#30) | 10.2 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#18) | 1.90 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#24) | 2.37 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#39) | 0.552 (#73) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 18.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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