Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SEA -2000 IDHO +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +37 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -12.7 (+24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -11.9 (+25.1) | 137.0 (+10.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -9.5 (+27.5) | 136.4 (+10.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -11.3 (+25.7) | 135.3 (+11.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -10.5 (+26.5) | 136.4 (+10.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#211) | -7.5 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#203) | -3.09 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#143) | -5.10 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#205) | 0.359 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.