Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
46–12 on winners spread MAE 8.9 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
La Salle @ Duke +19.2 144.5 89% 66–95 ✓
Boston University @ Davidson +7.6 131.6 74% 45–69 ✓
Idaho State @ Campbell -1.4 124.0 44% 69–55 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Ball State +6.4 136.4 80% 58–75 ✓
Army @ UAlbany +8.1 133.3 72% 59–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Detroit Mercy +6.3 139.4 71% 76–72 ✗
UMBC @ Maryland +6.7 140.2 80% 68–92 ✓
Marist @ New Hampshire +1.3 137.9 63% 71–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Monmouth +2.8 143.7 65% 79–88 ✓
UAB @ Middle Tennessee +6.6 132.1 68% 58–57 ✗
Hofstra @ Wright State -5.7 152.9 24% 85–76 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Utah State -2.0 146.5 41% 49–79 ✗
Long Island University @ Columbia +12.2 146.1 87% 67–77 ✓
Tennessee @ Purdue +0.5 139.8 64% 67–71 ✓
Western Illinois @ Valparaiso +0.7 145.2 63% 66–73 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Auburn +21.0 154.0 89% 54–84 ✓
Texas Southern @ Oral Roberts +18.3 134.9 89% 63–65 ✓
Alcorn State @ TCU +24.6 155.1 90% 74–93 ✓
UC Irvine @ Pepperdine -2.6 143.1 41% 76–60 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico State -5.9 139.3 24% 81–76 ✓
Siena @ Milwaukee +5.2 136.7 75% 59–61 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Minnesota +15.0 156.0 90% 67–86 ✓
Green Bay @ UC Riverside -0.4 133.2 65% 68–74 ✗
Le Moyne @ Cal State Northridge +12.8 148.3 76% 80–70 ✗
Kansas @ Marquette -2.4 156.6 43% 59–73 ✗
New Mexico @ Toledo +4.0 151.6 57% 92–84 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Hawai'i — — — 61–70 —
Buffalo @ Iona +12.6 143.4 83% 64–89 ✓
Northern Iowa @ North Carolina +7.2 149.9 76% 69–91 ✓
App State @ Murray State -6.6 147.8 21% 67–57 ✓
Chicago State @ Morgan State -3.8 143.7 30% 84–83 ✓
Georgia State @ Little Rock +1.5 152.2 50% 93–90 ✗
Texas State @ Southern Utah +1.4 131.0 62% 67–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Boston College -1.2 144.8 41% 86–74 ✓
Louisiana @ Long Beach State +3.7 146.7 63% 92–82 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Presbyterian +9.8 138.1 74% 79–75 ✗
Harvard @ Colgate -4.4 134.9 34% 76–70 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Massachusetts +14.7 146.8 86% 60–89 ✓
Tennessee @ Kansas +0.5 145.3 62% 60–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grambling -11.1 142.1 13% 86–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ Villanova +1.1 132.0 52% 69–85 ✓
Austin Peay @ Sacramento State -0.4 131.4 50% 74–71 ✓
North Alabama @ UT Martin +4.9 140.0 76% 103–105 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Radford +4.3 139.4 62% 68–79 ✓
Ole Miss @ Temple +8.7 139.4 78% 77–76 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Creighton +18.3 151.2 86% 65–88 ✓
Princeton @ Old Dominion -11.1 135.5 17% 76–56 ✓
McNeese @ Louisiana Tech +7.0 128.8 75% 62–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ American University +4.3 142.9 64% 65–68 ✓
Purdue @ Marquette -2.1 148.8 42% 78–75 ✓
The Citadel @ Campbell +0.3 128.0 64% 58–65 ✓
Wright State @ Illinois State +1.0 143.0 59% 74–49 ✗
VMI @ Air Force +10.3 136.4 86% 54–64 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan -1.0 159.2 47% 71–67 ✓
Tarleton State @ Cal State Bakersfield -7.0 135.1 24% 59–40 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Merrimack +7.7 138.5 80% 73–96 ✓
West Virginia @ Virginia +4.9 123.8 69% 54–56 ✓
Southern Illinois @ New Mexico State -11.0 139.1 15% 81–54 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Northern Kentucky +3.8 138.0 76% 73–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.