Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | TCU -20000 ALCN +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +19 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -29.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -32.0 (-13.0) | 150.4 (+16.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -29.6 (-10.6) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -23.8 (-4.8) | 149.8 (+17.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -24.6 (-5.6) | 155.1 (+11.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | TCU 71 – 48 ALCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 12.4 (#21) | -9.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#80) | -2.18 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#72) | -3.43 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#189) | 0.292 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.0% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 61.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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